Three prop bets to group together for longer odds in a SGP offered by FanDuel
The Green Bay Packers with the 7th seed in the NFC playoffs will be playing the 2nd seed Philadelphia Eagles in the city that brutally murdered an innocent robot.
The oddsmakers at FanDuel have the Packers as 4.5-point underdogs. The moneyline is Green Bay +200, which gives Green Bay an implied 1 in 3 chance of winning.
An interesting bet within the old standards is the over/under. It’s, for the moment, set at 45.5. This seems like a great place to start for a three leg Same Game Parlay.
For the uninitiated, SGP means you place multiple bets at the same time for just one game. So you’re betting on multiple outcomes within just, for example, the Packers vs Eagles Wild Card game.
Jalen Hurts is near the bottom of the league in throwing over the middle. Saquon Barkley is the straw that stirs the drink of their offense. These are very good things…for the Packers. Eric Stokes was getting a lot of hype recently due to leading the league in some counting stats, but he just hasn’t been targeted. Why? Because the middle of the field is always open. The Packers’ defense has been atrocious over the middle. Those linebackers who haven’t been great in coverage have been borderline exceptional against the run. By DVOA they are 7th in the league against it.
On the other side of the ball, the Eagles run more man coverage than anyone else. The Packers have been downright abysmal against man coverage this season.
Basically, each offense plays to the opposite defense’s strengths. That’s not to say one should expect a slobber knocker, rock fight, puntfest. Just that there might be fewer points scored than expected.
Along that same vein, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yardage over / under is 103.5. The Packers have allowed three 100-yard rushers all season. One of them was Saquon…but what happens in Brazil doesn’t count. At least that’s what the ads say. Or is that Vegas?
For the second leg, it wouldn’t be out of the question for Green Bay to keep Saquon under 104.
And finally, the 3rd leg: Jordan Love’s rushing yards. Currently his over / under is 5.5. As mentioned before, the Eagles play more man coverage than anyone else. Man coverage leads to a lot of people on the defense not looking at the QB.
Love isn’t a burner, but the guy can scoot. If he scrambles out of the pocket just one or two times, he should hit this mark.
Combine all 3 legs and you’re turning three 50/50 bets into something that’s 5 to 1, give or take.